Rates & Macro

January 18, 2026 Central Banks & Rates

Weak US Jobs Data Shifts Rate-Cut Expectations; Some Forecasts Now See No Cuts in 2026

After reports of softer employment data, expectations around US monetary policy shifted. Market participants increasingly see interest rates staying higher for longer, and some bank forecasts reportedly no longer expect rate cuts through the remainder of 2026.

The shift in expectations has influenced currency markets as well, strengthening the US dollar against the euro amid the belief that US rates may remain unchanged for an extended period.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.

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